Football · Brazil Serie D · 26/07, 21:00
Prediction: CSA vs Sao Luiz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
CSA1.77
Sao Luiz0.57
1X2
CSA
Draw
Sao Luiz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSA
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Sao Luiz
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSA
0–1–0
Sao Luiz
(1 last)
- Sao Luiz0-0CSA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSA 1563 · Sao Luiz 1526
| CSA | Draw | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 24% | 10% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSA | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSA 0–1–0 Sao Luiz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 Brazil Serie D | Sao Luiz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSA |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A15
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Sao Luiz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 05/07 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Joinville Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Cascavel Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSA vs Sao Luiz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSA win (66%). Probabilities: CSA 66%, draw 23%, Sao Luiz 11%.
How many goals are expected in CSA vs Sao Luiz?
The model expects 2.34 goals (CSA 1.77 · Sao Luiz 0.57), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSA vs Sao Luiz?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.