Football · Brazil Serie D · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: Uberlandia vs Portuguesa Desportos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Uberlandia1.06
Portuguesa Desportos1.06
1X2
Uberlandia
Draw
Portuguesa Desportos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Uberlandia
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Portuguesa Desportos
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uberlandia 1536 · Portuguesa Desportos 1558
| Uberlandia | Draw | Portuguesa Desportos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uberlandia | Portuguesa Desportos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A13
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Desportos | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | EC Agua Santa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | America RJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 5 | Madureira RJ | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 11 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uberlandia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 24/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
Portuguesa Desportos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Marcilio Dias Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Marcilio Dias Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Pouso Alegre Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uberlandia vs Portuguesa Desportos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Uberlandia win (34%). Probabilities: Uberlandia 34%, draw 32%, Portuguesa Desportos 34%.
How many goals are expected in Uberlandia vs Portuguesa Desportos?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Uberlandia 1.06 · Portuguesa Desportos 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Uberlandia vs Portuguesa Desportos?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.