Football · Brazil Serie D · 20/07, 00:00
Prediction: America RN vs SE Gama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
America RN1.37
SE Gama0.9
1X2
America RN
Draw
SE Gama
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
America RN
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
SE Gama
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America RN
1–1
SE Gama
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America RN 1592 · SE Gama 1568
| America RN | Draw | SE Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 15 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America RN | SE Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 8.4 | 4.2 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America RN 1–0–1 SE Gama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/16 Copa do Brasil | America RN | 3-2 HT 3-2 | SE Gama |
| 14/05/16 Copa do Brasil | SE Gama | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America RN |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A8
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary PE | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa EC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America RN
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Trem AP Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Trem AP Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | D |
SE Gama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Mixto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Mixto Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Aparecidense Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Inhumas Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | AC Primavera Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | Luverdense Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/05 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America RN vs SE Gama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America RN win (47%). Probabilities: America RN 47%, draw 30%, SE Gama 24%.
How many goals are expected in America RN vs SE Gama?
The model expects 2.27 goals (America RN 1.37 · SE Gama 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America RN vs SE Gama?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.