Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Resistencia FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.71
Resistencia FC1.04
1X2
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Draw
Resistencia FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Resistencia FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1582 · Resistencia FC 1521
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | Draw | Resistencia FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (rating 1582 vs 1521).
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | Resistencia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.7 | 6.3 / 0.5 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Capiata | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | Resistencia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguari AC | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Carapegua | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Encarnacion FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Santaní | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 07/07 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/06 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 25/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
Resistencia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Deportivo Santa Monica Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 30/06 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 21/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 08/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Resistencia FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (52%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 52%, draw 27%, Resistencia FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Resistencia FC?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.71 · Resistencia FC 1.04), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Resistencia FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.