Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Independiente FBC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Paraguari AC1.22
Independiente FBC1.25
1X2
Paraguari AC
Draw
Independiente FBC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Paraguari AC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Independiente FBC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1446 · Independiente FBC 1491
| Paraguari AC | Draw | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 29% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente FBC (rating 1446 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paraguari AC | Independiente FBC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
| 8 | Deportivo Capiata | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paraguari AC | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando de la Mora | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Tacuary | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| 3 de Noviembre | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| General Caballero JLM | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Carapegua | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente FBC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paraguari AC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Club 15 de Agosto FBC Paraguay Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 04/06 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 25/05 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Independiente FBC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 08/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Independiente FBC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente FBC win (36%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 35%, draw 29%, Independiente FBC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Independiente FBC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Paraguari AC 1.22 · Independiente FBC 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Independiente FBC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.