Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 23/08, 17:30

Prediction: NK Fama Vipava vs NK Ziri

Team pages: NK Fama Vipava · NK Ziri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

NK Fama Vipava1.72

NK Ziri1.33

1X2

46% 25% 29%

NK Fama Vipava Draw NK Ziri

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Fama Vipava 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDLWDDL

NK Ziri 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLDLD

Head-to-head

NK Fama Vipava 1–2 NK Ziri (3 last)

NK Fama Vipava0-3NK Ziri
NK Ziri3-1NK Fama Vipava
NK Fama Vipava3-1NK Ziri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Fama Vipava 1481 · NK Ziri 1392

	NK Fama Vipava	Draw	NK Ziri
Our model	46%	26%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Fama Vipava (rating 1481 vs 1392).
H2H favours NK Ziri: 2-0-1.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Fama Vipava	NK Ziri
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	0.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3	2.5 / 11
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +4’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Fama Vipava 1–0–2 NK Ziri

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	0-3 HT 0-1	NK Ziri
17/08/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ziri	3-1 HT 0-1	NK Fama Vipava
07/11/21 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Fama Vipava	3-1 HT 1-1	NK Ziri

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	2	2	0	0	8	2	6
2	NK Skofja Loka	1	1	0	0	5	0	3
3	NK Sencur	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
4	ND Idrija	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Roltek DOB	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	NK Tolmin	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	NK Ziri	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	NK Adria Miren	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
9	NK Sobec Lesce	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	NK Rudar Trbovlje	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	Svoboda Ljubljana	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
13	NK Litija	1	0	0	1	0	4	0
14	NK Fama Vipava	1	0	0	1	0	5	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Fama Vipava	NK Ziri
NK Skofja Loka	0-5 L	0-4 L
Roltek DOB	2-2 D	0-5 L
NK Tolmin	0-0 D	0-3 L
NK Rudar Trbovlje	1-0 W	0-5 L
ND Idrija	0-1 L	0-0 D
NK Sencur	1-1 D	2-2 D
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: NK Fama Vipava (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Fama Vipava

WLDWDLWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	0-5	2	4	L
24/05	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
16/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/05	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
18/04	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/04	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/04	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/03	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-1	4	2	W

NK Ziri

DLLLLLLDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
23/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
03/05	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
25/04	MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-5	–	–	L
18/04	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-5	–	–	L
11/04	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-5	–	–	L
04/04	NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/03	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Ziri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Fama Vipava win (46%). Probabilities: NK Fama Vipava 46%, draw 25%, NK Ziri 29%.

How many goals are expected in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Ziri?

The model expects 3.05 goals (NK Fama Vipava 1.72 · NK Ziri 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Fama Vipava vs NK Ziri?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.