Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: Roltek DOB vs NK Sobec Lesce

Team pages: Roltek DOB · NK Sobec Lesce

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Roltek DOB2.84
NK Sobec Lesce0.84
1X2
82% 12% 6%
Roltek DOB Draw NK Sobec Lesce
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Roltek DOB 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDDDWWLWWW
NK Sobec Lesce 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDDLLDLL
Head-to-head
Roltek DOB 2–1 NK Sobec Lesce (3 last)
  • Roltek DOB1-2NK Sobec Lesce
  • NK Sobec Lesce0-1Roltek DOB
  • Roltek DOB4-0NK Sobec Lesce
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roltek DOB 1569 · NK Sobec Lesce 1429
Roltek DOBDrawNK Sobec Lesce
Our model78%14%8%
Market86%10%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roltek DOB (rating 1569 vs 1429).
  • H2H favours Roltek DOB: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Roltek DOBNK Sobec Lesce
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.21.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.31 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/17/17%25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.84 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 0.34.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Roltek DOB 2–0–1 NK Sobec Lesce

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Slovenia 3. SNL
Roltek DOB1-2
HT 1-2
NK Sobec Lesce
18/10/25
Slovenia 3. SNL
NK Sobec Lesce0-1
HT 0-1
Roltek DOB
21/10/23
Slovenia 3. SNL
Roltek DOB4-0
HT 2-0
NK Sobec Lesce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MNK Izola 7700 34421
2 Roltek DOB 7511 18616
3 ND Idrija 7511 11716
4 NK Tolmin 7331 161012
5 NK Sencur 7331 13912
6 NK Litija 7322 11711
7 NK Rudar Trbovlje 7313 101510
8 NK Skofja Loka 7232 12169
9 NK Adria Miren 7214 11147
10 NK Ziri 7142 7107
11 NK Fama Vipava 7205 13306
12 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 7115 6134
13 NK Sobec Lesce 7034 6133
14 Svoboda Ljubljana 7016 5191

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoltek DOBNK Sobec Lesce
ND Idrija 3-1 W 1-2 L
Svoboda Ljubljana 4-0 W 1-1 D
NK Rudar Trbovlje 3-1 W 0-0 D
MNK Izola 0-3 L 1-2 L
NK Fama Vipava 2-2 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Roltek DOB (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roltek DOB

LDDDWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-1 –– W
19/09 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-0 4-0 64 W
13/09 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 3-1 67 W
05/09 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 0-3 17 L
29/08 NK Ziri
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-0 –– W
22/08 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 4-0 26 W
15/08 NK Tolmin
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D
24/05 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 2-2 45 D
16/05 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 3-3 1010 D
09/05 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-1 –– L

NK Sobec Lesce

LLWDDLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 2-3 –– L
19/09 NK Adria Miren
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-2 –– L
12/09 NK Litija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D
05/09 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-4 –– L
29/08 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 1-2 88 L
23/08 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 1-1 44 D
15/08 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-0 –– D
23/05 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-0 4-1 42 W
17/05 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
09/05 NK Vrhnika
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 1-5 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roltek DOB vs NK Sobec Lesce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Roltek DOB win (82%). Probabilities: Roltek DOB 82%, draw 12%, NK Sobec Lesce 6%.

How many goals are expected in Roltek DOB vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Roltek DOB 2.84 · NK Sobec Lesce 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Roltek DOB vs NK Sobec Lesce?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.