Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: NK Dobrovce vs NK Korotan Prevalje

Team pages: NK Dobrovce · NK Korotan Prevalje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

NK Dobrovce1.23

NK Korotan Prevalje1.95

1X2

23% 23% 53%

NK Dobrovce Draw NK Korotan Prevalje

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Dobrovce 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLWLL

NK Korotan Prevalje 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDDLDWD

Head-to-head

NK Dobrovce 2–1–3 NK Korotan Prevalje (6 last)

NK Dobrovce1-2NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Korotan Prevalje1-0NK Dobrovce
NK Dobrovce5-1NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Dobrovce0-3NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Dobrovce3-3NK Korotan Prevalje
NK Korotan Prevalje0-3NK Dobrovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Dobrovce 1445 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1536

	NK Dobrovce	Draw	NK Korotan Prevalje
Our model	23%	24%	53%
Market	24%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Korotan Prevalje (rating 1445 vs 1536).
H2H favours NK Korotan Prevalje: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Dobrovce	NK Korotan Prevalje
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.9	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.2	1.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.15 ★
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +10’	3.80	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:13 +37’	3.35	4.15	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dobrovce 2–1–3 NK Korotan Prevalje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Dobrovce	1-2 HT 1-0	NK Korotan Prevalje
18/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	1-0	NK Dobrovce
29/09/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Dobrovce	5-1 HT 3-1	NK Korotan Prevalje
04/05/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Dobrovce	0-3 HT 0-2	NK Korotan Prevalje
19/10/22 Slovenia Cup	NK Dobrovce	3-3 HT 3-2	NK Korotan Prevalje
02/04/22 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Korotan Prevalje	0-3	NK Dobrovce

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	8	6	2	0	24	11	20
2	NK Ormoz	8	5	1	2	21	14	16
3	NK Fuzinar	8	5	1	2	27	20	16
4	NK Smartno	8	5	1	2	22	14	16
5	NK Podvinci	9	4	2	3	15	17	14
6	NK Hajdina	9	3	4	2	16	15	13
7	NK Carda	8	3	3	2	20	15	12
8	NK Korotan Prevalje	8	2	5	1	13	11	11
9	SD Videm	9	3	2	4	15	19	11
10	NK Race	8	2	3	3	9	9	9
11	NK Ljutomer	9	2	2	5	12	14	8
12	NK Dobrovce	8	2	0	6	11	23	6
13	NK Sampion Celje	8	1	1	6	11	19	4
14	NK Limbus Pekre	8	1	1	6	6	21	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Dobrovce	NK Korotan Prevalje
SD Videm	3-2 W	4-2 W
NK Fuzinar	1-5 L	4-4 D
NK Limbus Pekre	1-3 L	3-1 W
NK Ljutomer	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NK Korotan Prevalje (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Dobrovce

LDLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	3-4	2	3	L
30/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
19/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
12/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-3	2	7	L
06/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-2	5	4	W
29/08	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-5	–	–	L
22/08	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-3	–	–	D
09/05	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	0-3	5	3	L

NK Korotan Prevalje

WLWDDDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	NK Limbus Pekre Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
19/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
12/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	Carda Martjanci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
26/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
22/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-2	–	–	W
23/05	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-3	–	–	L
16/05	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Dobrovce vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Korotan Prevalje win (53%). Probabilities: NK Dobrovce 23%, draw 23%, NK Korotan Prevalje 53%.

How many goals are expected in NK Dobrovce vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model expects 3.18 goals (NK Dobrovce 1.23 · NK Korotan Prevalje 1.95), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Dobrovce vs NK Korotan Prevalje?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.