Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Podvinci vs SD Videm

Team pages: NK Podvinci · SD Videm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

NK Podvinci1.85

SD Videm1.93

1X2

37% 23% 40%

NK Podvinci Draw SD Videm

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Podvinci 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLLWD

SD Videm 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDDLW

Head-to-head

NK Podvinci 2–1–3 SD Videm (6 last)

SD Videm1-0NK Podvinci
NK Podvinci4-0SD Videm
SD Videm1-1NK Podvinci
NK Podvinci2-1SD Videm
SD Videm2-0NK Podvinci
SD Videm3-1NK Podvinci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Podvinci 1530 · SD Videm 1481

	NK Podvinci	Draw	SD Videm
Our model	37%	23%	40%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Podvinci (rating 1530 vs 1481).
H2H favours SD Videm: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Podvinci	SD Videm
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	33/17/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	3.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +7’	2.45	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Podvinci 2–1–3 SD Videm

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	SD Videm	1-0	NK Podvinci
20/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Podvinci	4-0 HT 2-0	SD Videm
11/05/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	SD Videm	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Podvinci
26/10/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Podvinci	2-1 HT 1-0	SD Videm
24/09/24 Slovenia Cup	SD Videm	2-0 HT 0-0	NK Podvinci
12/05/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	SD Videm	3-1 HT 2-1	NK Podvinci

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	8	6	2	0	24	11	20
2	NK Ormoz	8	5	1	2	21	14	16
3	NK Fuzinar	7	5	0	2	23	16	15
4	NK Smartno	7	4	1	2	18	14	13
5	NK Podvinci	8	4	1	3	13	15	13
6	NK Hajdina	9	3	4	2	16	15	13
7	NK Carda	7	3	2	2	18	13	11
8	NK Korotan Prevalje	7	2	4	1	9	7	10
9	NK Race	8	2	3	3	9	9	9
10	NK Ljutomer	9	2	2	5	12	14	8
11	SD Videm	8	2	2	4	14	19	8
12	NK Dobrovce	8	2	0	6	11	23	6
13	NK Sampion Celje	7	1	1	5	11	18	4
14	NK Limbus Pekre	7	1	1	5	6	17	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Podvinci	SD Videm
NK Carda	2-2 D	1-2 L
NK Ljutomer	2-1 W	4-6 L
NK Race	0-1 L	2-1 W
NK Smartno	1-8 L	0-3 L
NK Korotan Prevalje	2-0 W	2-4 L
NK Hajdina	4-1 W	2-2 D
NK Sampion Celje	1-1 D	1-0 W
NK Odranci	1-3 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Podvinci

WLDWWWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
29/09	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-1	12	6	W
26/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
19/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-8	6	4	L
12/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	4-1	0	2	W
22/08	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-3	5	7	L
23/05	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W

SD Videm

LLWLLWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
27/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-2	6	6	D
20/09	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
11/09	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
06/09	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
29/08	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
23/08	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	1	7	W
15/08	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-4	–	–	L
23/05	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Podvinci vs SD Videm?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SD Videm win (40%). Probabilities: NK Podvinci 37%, draw 23%, SD Videm 40%.

How many goals are expected in NK Podvinci vs SD Videm?

The model expects 3.78 goals (NK Podvinci 1.85 · SD Videm 1.93), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Podvinci vs SD Videm?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.