Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 10/10, 15:30
Prediction: Svoboda Ljubljana vs NK Skofja Loka
Team pages: Svoboda Ljubljana · NK Skofja Loka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Svoboda Ljubljana1.82
NK Skofja Loka1.76
1X2
Svoboda Ljubljana
Draw
NK Skofja Loka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Svoboda Ljubljana
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
NK Skofja Loka
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Svoboda Ljubljana
3–2
NK Skofja Loka
(5 last)
- Svoboda Ljubljana2-1NK Skofja Loka
- NK Skofja Loka1-4Svoboda Ljubljana
- NK Skofja Loka2-1Svoboda Ljubljana
- Svoboda Ljubljana4-2NK Skofja Loka
- Svoboda Ljubljana0-3NK Skofja Loka
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Skofja Loka (rating 1429 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Svoboda Ljubljana: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Svoboda Ljubljana | NK Skofja Loka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.5 | 1.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/33/50% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Svoboda Ljubljana 3–0–2 NK Skofja Loka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Slovenia 3. SNL | Svoboda Ljubljana | 2-1 | NK Skofja Loka |
| 08/11/25 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Svoboda Ljubljana |
| 05/05/24 Slovenia 3. SNL | NK Skofja Loka | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Svoboda Ljubljana |
| 21/10/23 Slovenia 3. SNL | Svoboda Ljubljana | 4-2 HT 1-1 | NK Skofja Loka |
| 11/03/23 Slovenia 3. SNL | Svoboda Ljubljana | 0-3 HT 0-0 | NK Skofja Loka |
Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNK Izola | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 5 | 24 |
| 2 | Roltek DOB | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | ND Idrija | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | NK Tolmin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | NK Sencur | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | NK Litija | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | NK Skofja Loka | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 8 | NK Rudar Trbovlje | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 9 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | NK Ziri | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | NK Adria Miren | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Fama Vipava | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 6 |
| 13 | NK Sobec Lesce | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
| 14 | Svoboda Ljubljana | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Svoboda Ljubljana | NK Skofja Loka |
|---|---|---|
| NK Tolmin | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| NK Sencur | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Roltek DOB | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| NK Fama Vipava | 3-5 L | 5-0 W |
| NK IB 1975 Ljubljana | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Skofja Loka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Svoboda Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
NK Skofja Loka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | NK Rudar Trbovlje Slovenia 3. SNL |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | MNK Izola Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | ND Bistrc Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Svoboda Ljubljana vs NK Skofja Loka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Svoboda Ljubljana win (39%). Probabilities: Svoboda Ljubljana 39%, draw 24%, NK Skofja Loka 37%.
How many goals are expected in Svoboda Ljubljana vs NK Skofja Loka?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Svoboda Ljubljana 1.82 · NK Skofja Loka 1.76), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Svoboda Ljubljana vs NK Skofja Loka?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.