Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Race

Team pages: NK Limbus Pekre · NK Race

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

NK Limbus Pekre0.83

NK Race1.93

1X2

15% 21% 63%

NK Limbus Pekre Draw NK Race

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Limbus Pekre 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDLLL

NK Race 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLLDWW

Head-to-head

NK Limbus Pekre 0–1 NK Race (1 last)

NK Limbus Pekre0-2NK Race

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Limbus Pekre 1431 · NK Race 1510

	NK Limbus Pekre	Draw	NK Race
Our model	15%	23%	62%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Race (rating 1431 vs 1510).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Limbus Pekre	NK Race
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.3	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.7	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.98

2 (-1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +37’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Limbus Pekre 0–0–1 NK Race

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Slovenia Cup	NK Limbus Pekre	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Race

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Odranci	8	6	2	0	24	11	20
2	NK Ormoz	8	5	1	2	21	14	16
3	NK Fuzinar	7	5	0	2	23	16	15
4	NK Smartno	7	4	1	2	18	14	13
5	NK Podvinci	8	4	1	3	13	15	13
6	NK Hajdina	9	3	4	2	16	15	13
7	NK Carda	7	3	2	2	18	13	11
8	NK Korotan Prevalje	7	2	4	1	9	7	10
9	NK Race	8	2	3	3	9	9	9
10	NK Ljutomer	9	2	2	5	12	14	8
11	SD Videm	8	2	2	4	14	19	8
12	NK Dobrovce	8	2	0	6	11	23	6
13	NK Sampion Celje	7	1	1	5	11	18	4
14	NK Limbus Pekre	7	1	1	5	6	17	4
15	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Limbus Pekre	NK Race
NK Smartno	0-4 L	1-2 L
NK Korotan Prevalje	1-3 L	0-0 D
NK Ormoz	0-4 L	1-2 L
NK Hajdina	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Race (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Limbus Pekre

LDLWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
26/09	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	7	L
19/09	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/09	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	NK Odranci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
13/06	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
10/06	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

NK Race

LWDLDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/09	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
19/09	NK Carda Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
11/09	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/08	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
22/08	NK Ormoz Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/05	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	NK Brezice Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Race?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Race win (63%). Probabilities: NK Limbus Pekre 15%, draw 21%, NK Race 63%.

How many goals are expected in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Race?

The model expects 2.76 goals (NK Limbus Pekre 0.83 · NK Race 1.93), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Limbus Pekre vs NK Race?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.