Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: MNK Izola vs NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Team pages: MNK Izola · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.33Total

MNK Izola3.17

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1.17

1X2

83% 11% 6%

MNK Izola Draw NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

MNK Izola 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

MNK Izola 1–1–0 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana (2 last)

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana1-4MNK Izola
MNK Izola1-1NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MNK Izola 1625 · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1435

	MNK Izola	Draw	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	88%	8%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MNK Izola (rating 1625 vs 1435).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MNK Izola	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	4.1 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4	1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.06

X11.00

226.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.82

2 (+3)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	26.00 → 26.00	Bet365 26.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +37’	1.06	11.00	26.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MNK Izola 1–1–0 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	1-4	MNK Izola
14/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	MNK Izola	1-1	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	8	8	0	0	36	5	24
2	Roltek DOB	8	6	1	1	21	6	19
3	ND Idrija	7	5	1	1	11	7	16
4	NK Tolmin	7	3	3	1	16	10	12
5	NK Sencur	7	3	3	1	13	9	12
6	NK Skofja Loka	8	3	3	2	15	17	12
7	NK Litija	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
8	NK Rudar Trbovlje	8	3	1	4	11	18	10
9	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	8	2	1	5	8	14	7
10	NK Ziri	8	1	4	3	8	12	7
11	NK Adria Miren	8	2	1	5	12	16	7
12	NK Fama Vipava	7	2	0	5	13	30	6
13	NK Sobec Lesce	8	0	3	5	6	16	3
14	Svoboda Ljubljana	7	0	1	6	5	19	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MNK Izola	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
NK Ziri	2-1 W	0-0 D
NK Skofja Loka	6-0 W	2-3 L
NK Tolmin	1-0 W	0-1 L
NK Sencur	5-2 W	0-3 L
NK Adria Miren	4-2 W	2-1 W
NK Litija	4-0 W	0-3 L
NK Sobec Lesce	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MNK Izola (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MNK Izola

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
05/09	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	3-0	2	7	W
29/08	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	11-0	–	–	W
21/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-2	7	3	W
15/08	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	4-0	3	8	W
23/05	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W

NK IB 1975 Ljubljana

WLLLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
27/09	NK Ziri Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-3	0	1	L
12/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	2-3	5	2	L
05/09	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
23/05	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	0-2	1-4	2	2	L
16/05	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-0	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MNK Izola vs NK IB 1975 Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MNK Izola win (83%). Probabilities: MNK Izola 83%, draw 11%, NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 6%.

How many goals are expected in MNK Izola vs NK IB 1975 Ljubljana?

The model expects 4.33 goals (MNK Izola 3.17 · NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in MNK Izola vs NK IB 1975 Ljubljana?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.