Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: NK Ziri vs MNK Izola

Team pages: NK Ziri · MNK Izola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

NK Ziri1.39

MNK Izola2.4

1X2

21% 21% 59%

NK Ziri Draw MNK Izola

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Ziri 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLDLDD

MNK Izola 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

NK Ziri 0–3 MNK Izola (3 last)

NK Ziri1-5MNK Izola
MNK Izola4-1NK Ziri
MNK Izola2-1NK Ziri

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MNK Izola (rating 1417 vs 1623).
H2H favours MNK Izola: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Ziri	MNK Izola
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	4.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 6	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.89

Under 3.51.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.11 → 7.11	Pinn 7.11
X	5.31 → 5.31	Pinn 5.31
2	1.24 → 1.24	Pinn 1.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:48 +17’	7.11	5.31	1.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Ziri 0–0–3 MNK Izola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Ziri	1-5	MNK Izola
11/10/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	MNK Izola	4-1	NK Ziri
11/03/23 Slovenia 3. SNL	MNK Izola	2-1 HT 1-0	NK Ziri

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MNK Izola	7	7	0	0	34	4	21
2	Roltek DOB	7	5	1	1	18	6	16
3	ND Idrija	7	5	1	1	11	7	16
4	NK Tolmin	7	3	3	1	16	10	12
5	NK Sencur	7	3	3	1	13	9	12
6	NK Litija	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
7	NK Rudar Trbovlje	7	3	1	3	10	15	10
8	NK Skofja Loka	7	2	3	2	12	16	9
9	NK Adria Miren	7	2	1	4	11	14	7
10	NK Ziri	7	1	4	2	7	10	7
11	NK Fama Vipava	7	2	0	5	13	30	6
12	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana	7	1	1	5	6	13	4
13	NK Sobec Lesce	7	0	3	4	6	13	3
14	Svoboda Ljubljana	7	0	1	6	5	19	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Ziri	MNK Izola
NK Skofja Loka	1-1 D	6-0 W
NK Tolmin	2-4 L	1-0 W
NK Sencur	0-0 D	5-2 W
Roltek DOB	0-3 L	3-0 W
NK Fama Vipava	3-1 W	11-0 W
NK Adria Miren	1-1 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MNK Izola (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Ziri

LDLDWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	NK IB 1975 Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
04/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
23/08	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
16/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
23/05	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	ND Idrija Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/05	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-4	–	–	L

MNK Izola

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	NK Skofja Loka Slovenia 3. SNL	–	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	NK Tolmin Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
05/09	Roltek DOB Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	3-0	2	7	W
29/08	NK Fama Vipava Slovenia 3. SNL	–	11-0	–	–	W
21/08	NK Adria Miren Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-2	7	3	W
15/08	NK Litija Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	4-0	3	8	W
23/05	NK Sencur Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	NK Sobec Lesce Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	Svoboda Ljubljana Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Ziri vs MNK Izola?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MNK Izola win (59%). Probabilities: NK Ziri 21%, draw 21%, MNK Izola 59%.

How many goals are expected in NK Ziri vs MNK Izola?

The model expects 3.79 goals (NK Ziri 1.39 · MNK Izola 2.4), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Ziri vs MNK Izola?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.