Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 04/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Litija vs NK Tolmin

Team pages: NK Tolmin

See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
NK Litija1.67
NK Tolmin1.33
1X2
45% 25% 30%
NK Litija Draw NK Tolmin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Litija 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWWWDW
NK Tolmin 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Litija 1551 · NK Tolmin 1523
NK LitijaDrawNK Tolmin
Our model44%26%29%
Market46%24%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK LitijaNK Tolmin
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.61 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4.6 / 72 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.25 / 0

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, West

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MNK Izola 121110 54934
2 Roltek DOB 12831 31927
3 ND Idrija 12813 201425
4 NK Litija 11632 26921
5 NK Sencur 12543 222119
6 NK Tolmin 11533 221518
7 NK Rudar Trbovlje 12516 173216
8 NK Skofja Loka 12435 182415
9 NK Adria Miren 12417 252613
10 NK Ziri 12345 141513
11 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 12336 122012
12 NK Fama Vipava 12219 16517
13 NK Sobec Lesce 12147 7197
14 Svoboda Ljubljana 12129 7275

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK LitijaNK Tolmin
NK Skofja Loka 3-1 W 2-2 D
Roltek DOB 1-1 D 1-1 D
NK Adria Miren 3-0 W 4-2 W
NK IB 1975 Ljubljana 3-0 W 1-0 W
NK Sobec Lesce 1-1 D 0-1 L
ND Idrija 0-0 D 0-2 L
Svoboda Ljubljana 3-0 W 2-0 W
MNK Izola 0-4 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Litija (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Litija

LLWDDWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-1 75 W
10/10 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-1 1-1 57 D
04/10 NK Fama Vipava
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 4-0 –– W
26/09 NK Adria Miren
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-0 –– W
19/09 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 3-0 91 W
12/09 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D
05/09 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-0 –– D
30/08 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 3-0 92 W
22/08 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-2 –– L
15/08 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-2 0-4 58 L

NK Tolmin

DDWDWLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 NK Adria Miren
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 4-2 –– W
17/10 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-1 –– L
10/10 ND Idrija
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-2 –– L
03/10 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 2-0 –– W
19/09 MNK Izola
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 NK Ziri
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 4-2 35 W
05/09 NK Skofja Loka
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 2-2 –– D
29/08 NK IB 1975 Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-0 –– W
22/08 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 3-3 –– D
15/08 Roltek DOB
Slovenia 3. SNL
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Litija vs NK Tolmin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Litija win (45%). Probabilities: NK Litija 45%, draw 25%, NK Tolmin 30%.

How many goals are expected in NK Litija vs NK Tolmin?

The model expects 3.01 goals (NK Litija 1.67 · NK Tolmin 1.33), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Litija vs NK Tolmin?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.