Football · Slovenia 3. SNL · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: NK Hajdina vs Carda Martjanci

Team pages: NK Hajdina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

NK Hajdina1.72

Carda Martjanci1.3

1X2

46% 25% 28%

NK Hajdina Draw Carda Martjanci

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Hajdina 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLWD

Carda Martjanci 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

NK Hajdina 2–2 Carda Martjanci (4 last)

Carda Martjanci4-1NK Hajdina
NK Hajdina2-1Carda Martjanci
Carda Martjanci2-0NK Hajdina
Carda Martjanci1-3NK Hajdina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Hajdina 1503 · Carda Martjanci 1529

	NK Hajdina	Draw	Carda Martjanci
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	46%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Hajdina	Carda Martjanci
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	2.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.16 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:35 +4’	1.95	3.60	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:35 +3’	2.14	3.32	2.80
15:59 +2’	2.16▲	3.37▲	2.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Hajdina 2–0–2 Carda Martjanci

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Slovenia 3. SNL	Carda Martjanci	4-1 HT 2-1	NK Hajdina
27/09/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	NK Hajdina	2-1	Carda Martjanci
09/04/25 Slovenia 3. SNL	Carda Martjanci	2-0 HT 0-0	NK Hajdina
15/09/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	Carda Martjanci	1-3 HT 0-1	NK Hajdina

Standings · Slovenia 3. SNL · 3. SNL 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Ljutomer	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
2	NK Korotan Prevalje	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
2	NK Ormoz	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
4	NK Odranci	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
5	NK Fuzinar	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Carda Martjanci	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
7	NK Hajdina	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	NK Race	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	DNS Zavrc	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NK Sampion Celje	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
11	NK Smartno	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
11	SD Videm	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
13	NK Podvinci	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
14	NK Limbus Pekre	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
15	NK Dobrovce	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Hajdina	Carda Martjanci
NK Race	1-1 D	2-0 W
NK Fuzinar	2-1 W	0-5 L
NK Dobrovce	3-0 W	1-2 L
NK Rogaska	1-0 W	3-3 D
NK Ljutomer	1-0 W	5-2 W
NK Korotan Prevalje	0-2 L	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Hajdina

LLLLWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/05	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
16/05	SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
02/05	NK Rogaska Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/04	Carda Martjanci Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-4	7	2	L
04/04	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-2	10	11	L
29/03	NK Smartno Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
21/03	NK Brezice Slovenia 3. SNL	0-0	0-2	4	5	L

Carda Martjanci

WLLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	NK Sampion Celje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
23/05	NK Rogaska Slovenia 3. SNL	–	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	DNS Zavrc Slovenia 3. SNL	–	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/04	NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL	–	5-2	–	–	W
18/04	NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/04	NK Hajdina Slovenia 3. SNL	2-1	4-1	3	2	W
04/04	NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL	–	0-5	–	–	L
01/04	NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
29/03	NK Korotan Prevalje Slovenia 3. SNL	1-1	5-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Hajdina vs Carda Martjanci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Hajdina win (46%). Probabilities: NK Hajdina 46%, draw 25%, Carda Martjanci 28%.

How many goals are expected in NK Hajdina vs Carda Martjanci?

The model expects 3.01 goals (NK Hajdina 1.72 · Carda Martjanci 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Hajdina vs Carda Martjanci?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.