Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 07/08, 03:00
Prediction: Universidad Guadalajara vs Correcaminos
Team pages: Universidad Guadalajara · Correcaminos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Universidad Guadalajara1.83
Correcaminos1.13
1X2
Universidad Guadalajara
Draw
Correcaminos
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Guadalajara
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Correcaminos
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Guadalajara
4–2–0
Correcaminos
(6 last)
- Universidad Guadalajara0-0Correcaminos
- Correcaminos1-2Universidad Guadalajara
- Correcaminos1-3Universidad Guadalajara
- Universidad Guadalajara3-1Correcaminos
- Universidad Guadalajara1-1Correcaminos
- Correcaminos1-2Universidad Guadalajara
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Guadalajara (rating 1511 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Universidad Guadalajara: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Guadalajara | Correcaminos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Guadalajara 4–2–0 Correcaminos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Correcaminos |
| 16/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Universidad Guadalajara |
| 14/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Universidad Guadalajara |
| 31/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Correcaminos |
| 28/02/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Universidad Guadalajara | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Correcaminos |
| 21/09/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Correcaminos | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad Guadalajara |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Correcaminos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Piratas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dorados | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atletico Morelia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cancun FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Club Atletico La Paz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Tepatitlan FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Oaxaca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Guadalajara | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Cancun FC | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Venados FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Oaxaca | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Dorados | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Guadalajara (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Guadalajara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/04 | Atletico Morelia Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 05/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Correcaminos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Chivas Guadalajara America Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 13/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/03 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Guadalajara vs Correcaminos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Guadalajara win (53%). Probabilities: Universidad Guadalajara 53%, draw 25%, Correcaminos 22%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Guadalajara vs Correcaminos?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Universidad Guadalajara 1.83 · Correcaminos 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Guadalajara vs Correcaminos?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.