Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 09/08, 03:00
Prediction: Atletico Morelia vs Cancun FC
Team pages: Atletico Morelia · Cancun FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Atletico Morelia1.36
Cancun FC1.15
1X2
Atletico Morelia
Draw
Cancun FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Morelia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Cancun FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Morelia
2–1–3
Cancun FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Morelia0-1Cancun FC
- Cancun FC1-1Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia3-1Cancun FC
- Cancun FC5-0Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia2-1Cancun FC
- Cancun FC3-1Atletico Morelia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cancun FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Morelia | Cancun FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Morelia 2–1–3 Cancun FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cancun FC |
| 17/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Morelia |
| 14/11/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Cancun FC |
| 24/08/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Atletico Morelia |
| 13/04/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cancun FC |
| 26/10/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Cancun FC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Morelia |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Correcaminos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Tapatio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Piratas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dorados | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atletico Morelia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | Jaiba Brava | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cancun FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Club Atletico La Paz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Tepatitlan FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | Oaxaca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Morelia | Cancun FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jaiba Brava | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Tapatio | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cancun FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Morelia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 4-2 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cruz Azul America Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/03 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Cancun FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Unam Pumas America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/07 | Toluca America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Morelia vs Cancun FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Morelia win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Morelia 40%, draw 29%, Cancun FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Morelia vs Cancun FC?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Atletico Morelia 1.36 · Cancun FC 1.15), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Morelia vs Cancun FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.