Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 28/08, 03:00
Prediction: Oaxaca vs Tapatio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Oaxaca1.62
Tapatio1.29
1X2
Oaxaca
Draw
Tapatio
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oaxaca
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Tapatio
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oaxaca
3–1–2
Tapatio
(6 last)
- Oaxaca4-3Tapatio
- Tapatio0-1Oaxaca
- Oaxaca1-3Tapatio
- Tapatio6-0Oaxaca
- Tapatio1-2Oaxaca
- Oaxaca1-1Tapatio
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Oaxaca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oaxaca | Tapatio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oaxaca 3–1–2 Tapatio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Tapatio |
| 04/10/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Oaxaca |
| 01/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tapatio |
| 17/08/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Oaxaca |
| 08/03/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Tapatio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oaxaca |
| 01/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Oaxaca | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tapatio |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Guadalajara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Correcaminos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Club Atletico La Paz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Piratas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Cancun FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Oaxaca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Alacranes de Durango | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Dorados | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Tepatitlan FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tlaxcala FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oaxaca | Tapatio |
|---|---|---|
| Jaiba Brava | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tlaxcala FC | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Dorados | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Venados FC | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Correcaminos | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tapatio (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oaxaca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Tepatitlan FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Tapatio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Dorados Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Irapuato Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/03 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oaxaca vs Tapatio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oaxaca win (44%). Probabilities: Oaxaca 44%, draw 27%, Tapatio 29%.
How many goals are expected in Oaxaca vs Tapatio?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Oaxaca 1.62 · Tapatio 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oaxaca vs Tapatio?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.