Football · Mexico Liga de Expansion · 29/08, 03:00
Prediction: Dorados vs Atletico Morelia
Team pages: Dorados · Atletico Morelia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Dorados1.46
Atletico Morelia1.34
1X2
Dorados
Draw
Atletico Morelia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dorados
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Morelia
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dorados
2–1–3
Atletico Morelia
(6 last)
- Dorados0-1Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia2-1Dorados
- Dorados5-1Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia1-1Dorados
- Dorados2-1Atletico Morelia
- Atletico Morelia4-0Dorados
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Morelia: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dorados | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 3.5 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorados 2–1–3 Atletico Morelia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Morelia |
| 14/09/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dorados |
| 16/02/25 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Atletico Morelia |
| 01/09/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dorados |
| 07/03/24 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Dorados | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Morelia |
| 25/08/23 Mexico Liga de Expansion | Atletico Morelia | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Dorados |
Standings · Mexico Liga de Expansion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Correcaminos | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Venados FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
| 3 | Universidad Guadalajara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Morelia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Club Atletico La Paz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Piratas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Oaxaca | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dorados | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Jaiba Brava | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Cancun FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Tepatitlan FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tlaxcala FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dorados | Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Tlaxcala FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Mineros de Zacatecas | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Correcaminos | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Jaiba Brava | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dorados
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Venados FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Oaxaca Mexico Liga de Expansion |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tapatio Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Atlante Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 15/03 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 09/03 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Atletico Morelia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Correcaminos Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 1-3 | 16 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Cancun FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Piratas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico La Paz Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-2 | 4-2 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Jaiba Brava Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Tlaxcala FC Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Universidad Guadalajara Mexico Liga de Expansion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dorados vs Atletico Morelia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorados win (39%). Probabilities: Dorados 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Morelia 33%.
How many goals are expected in Dorados vs Atletico Morelia?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Dorados 1.46 · Atletico Morelia 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dorados vs Atletico Morelia?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.