Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 27/07, 02:30

Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs O'Higgins

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Deportes Concepcion1.5
O'Higgins1.23
1X2
42% 28% 30%
Deportes Concepcion Draw O'Higgins
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Concepcion 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWLWWW
O'Higgins 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDLDWWLW
Head-to-head
Deportes Concepcion 0–1 O'Higgins (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Concepcion 1529 · O'Higgins 1514
Deportes ConcepcionDrawO'Higgins
Our model42%28%30%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes ConcepcionO'Higgins
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.21.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.12.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.33.8 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 001 O'Higgins

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/02/26
Chile Liga de Primera
O'Higgins2-1
HT 1-0
Deportes Concepcion

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 151203 291236
2 Universidad Catolica 15825 352026
3 Universidad de Chile 15663 171024
4 Coquimbo Unido 15735 221824
5 Palestino 15735 232124
6 Huachipato 15726 232223
7 Everton de Vina 15645 191522
8 Nublense 15573 181922
9 Deportes Limache 15636 302321
10 O'Higgins 15627 192220
11 Universidad de Concepcion 15546 132619
12 La Serena 15465 212518
13 Audax Italiano 15447 182116
14 Deportes Concepcion 15429 142314
15 Cobresal 154110 192913
16 Union La Calera 15339 142812

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes ConcepcionO'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido 1-2 L 0-0 D
Universidad de Chile 1-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Concepcion

WLLWDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 93 W
07/07 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 44 W
03/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-1 2-1 23 W
29/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 75 L
25/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
1-0 3-2 17 W
21/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-1 1-1 75 D
14/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-2 71 W
06/06 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-2 85 L
30/05 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 1-2 110 L
24/05 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 56 W

O'Higgins

WDLDLDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Nublense
Chile Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 64 W
10/07 Nublense
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-2 43 L
05/07 Union Espanola
Chile Cup
2-1 2-1 48 W
03/07 Colo Colo
Chile Cup
2-0 4-1 52 W
28/06 Deportes Recoleta
Chile Cup
0-0 1-1 108 D
26/06 Colo Colo
Chile Cup
0-2 2-3 33 L
22/06 Union Espanola
Chile Cup
0-1 1-1 21 D
19/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-2 36 L
13/06 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 25 D
08/06 Palestino
Chile Copa de la Liga
2-0 2-1 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Concepcion win (42%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 42%, draw 28%, O'Higgins 30%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.5 · O'Higgins 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs O'Higgins?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.