Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 25/07, 23:30

Prediction: Huachipato vs Cobresal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Huachipato1.71
Cobresal0.83
1X2
57% 25% 17%
Huachipato Draw Cobresal
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Huachipato 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLWLLW
Cobresal 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLLDL
Head-to-head
Huachipato 1–1–4 Cobresal (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Huachipato 1450 · Cobresal 1423
HuachipatoDrawCobresal
Our model57%26%17%
Market58%25%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cobresal: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HuachipatoCobresal
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.60.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.52.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.43.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato 114 Cobresal

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal1-0
HT 1-0
Huachipato
13/09/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal3-2
HT 1-1
Huachipato
19/04/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato0-1
HT 0-1
Cobresal
10/08/24
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato0-0
HT 0-0
Cobresal
09/03/24
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal1-2
HT 0-2
Huachipato
14/07/23
Chile Liga de Primera
Cobresal2-0
HT 1-0
Huachipato

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 151203 291236
2 Universidad Catolica 15825 352026
3 Universidad de Chile 15663 171024
4 Coquimbo Unido 15735 221824
5 Palestino 15735 232124
6 Huachipato 15726 232223
7 Everton de Vina 15645 191522
8 Nublense 15573 181922
9 Deportes Limache 15636 302321
10 O'Higgins 15627 192220
11 Universidad de Concepcion 15546 132619
12 La Serena 15465 212518
13 Audax Italiano 15447 182116
14 Deportes Concepcion 15429 142314
15 Cobresal 154110 192913
16 Union La Calera 15339 142812

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHuachipatoCobresal
Nublense 2-2 D 0-1 L
Colo Colo 1-0 W 0-3 L
Universidad Catolica 0-3 L 1-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Huachipato (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Huachipato

LLWDLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 36 W
05/07 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 1-2 110 L
03/07 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
1-0 1-2 43 L
28/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 23 W
25/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-1 2-3 67 L
21/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 87 L
14/06 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 2-2 75 D
07/06 Colo Colo
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-0 36 W
31/05 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-3 83 L
24/05 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-2 36 L

Cobresal

LLLLLDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 CD Antofagasta
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 31 L
05/07 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
2-1 2-2 54 D
02/07 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 96 L
28/06 CD Antofagasta
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 95 L
24/06 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 64 D
20/06 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/06 Colo Colo
Chile Liga de Primera
0-3 0-3 20 L
07/06 Universidad Catolica
Chile Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-5 75 L
30/05 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-1 95 L
23/05 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 1-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Huachipato vs Cobresal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Huachipato win (57%). Probabilities: Huachipato 57%, draw 25%, Cobresal 17%.

How many goals are expected in Huachipato vs Cobresal?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Huachipato 1.71 · Cobresal 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Huachipato vs Cobresal?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.