Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 25/07, 02:30
Prediction: Colo Colo vs Deportes Limache
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Colo Colo2.71
Deportes Limache1.26
1X2
Colo Colo
Draw
Deportes Limache
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colo Colo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Deportes Limache
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colo Colo
0–2–3
Deportes Limache
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1553 · Deportes Limache 1464
| Colo Colo | Draw | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1553 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Deportes Limache: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | Deportes Limache | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 0–2–3 Deportes Limache
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Colo Colo |
| 27/10/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Deportes Limache |
| 10/05/25 Chile Cup | Deportes Limache | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Colo Colo |
| 02/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colo Colo |
| 31/01/25 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs Deportes Limache?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (66%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 66%, draw 20%, Deportes Limache 14%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs Deportes Limache?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Colo Colo 2.71 · Deportes Limache 1.26), with a 61% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Deportes Limache?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.