Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 25/07, 00:00
Prediction: Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Union La Calera1.15
Everton de Vina1.21
1X2
Union La Calera
Draw
Everton de Vina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union La Calera
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Everton de Vina
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union La Calera
3–1–2
Everton de Vina
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union La Calera 1538 · Everton de Vina 1508
| Union La Calera | Draw | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union La Calera: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union La Calera | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union La Calera 3–1–2 Everton de Vina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 20/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Union La Calera |
| 05/04/25 Chile Cup | Everton de Vina | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union La Calera |
| 01/02/25 Chile Cup | Union La Calera | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 13/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
| 20/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union La Calera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | La Serena Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 08/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Everton de Vina win (37%). Probabilities: Union La Calera 34%, draw 30%, Everton de Vina 37%.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Union La Calera 1.15 · Everton de Vina 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.