Football · Brazil Serie C · 11/08, 01:00

Prediction: Paysandu vs AD Confianca

Team pages: Paysandu · AD Confianca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Paysandu1.65
AD Confianca0.79
1X2
57% 26% 17%
Paysandu Draw AD Confianca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWLLWL
AD Confianca 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLLWDLLD
Head-to-head
Paysandu 1–1 AD Confianca (2 last)
  • AD Confianca1-0Paysandu
  • Paysandu1-0AD Confianca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu 1477 · AD Confianca 1458
PaysanduDrawAD Confianca
Our model57%27%17%
Market57%26%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PaysanduAD Confianca
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.70.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.92.7 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.43.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu 101 AD Confianca

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/08/23
Brazil Serie C
AD Confianca1-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
10/07/22
Brazil Serie C
Paysandu1-0
HT 0-0
AD Confianca

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 15834 211527
2 Guarani 15753 281526
3 Botafogo PB 15816 211625
4 Inter de Limeira 15744 181725
5 Santa Cruz FC 15735 151124
6 Paysandu 15726 232123
7 Maringa FC 15654 282523
8 Ferroviaria SP 15654 151223
9 Ypiranga RS 15636 181921
10 Caxias RS 15564 141221
11 Floresta EC 15564 161521
12 Amazonas FC 15627 152020
13 Figueirense 15555 131820
14 Ituano 15546 161719
15 Volta Redonda 15537 111918
16 Maranhao 15465 111418
17 Itabaiana 15456 131817
18 Barra FC 15366 171715
19 Anapolis FC 15339 131912
20 AD Confianca 15339 91512

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysanduAD Confianca
Guarani 3-2 W 2-0 W
Ypiranga RS 0-1 L 1-1 D
Maranhao 1-0 W 2-1 W
Figueirense 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AD Confianca (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu

WLLWLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/07 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 56 L
12/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-2 3-2 107 W
05/07 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 52 L
27/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-3 144 L
21/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 73 W
14/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-2 128 L
07/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Copa Verde
1-0 4-0 1310 W
05/06 Anapolis FC
Brazil Copa Verde
0-2 1-3 116 L
01/06 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 111 L
29/05 Nacional AM
Brazil Copa Verde
2-0 4-2 18 W

AD Confianca

LWDLLWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 32 D
13/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 81 L
05/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 104 L
29/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 14 D
23/06 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 87 W
15/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 95 L
30/05 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 112 L
24/05 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 92 D
19/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 84 W
15/05 Gremio
Copa do Brasil
0-1 0-3 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu vs AD Confianca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paysandu win (57%). Probabilities: Paysandu 57%, draw 26%, AD Confianca 17%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu vs AD Confianca?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Paysandu 1.65 · AD Confianca 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu vs AD Confianca?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.