Football · Lebanon League · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Jwaya FC vs Al Nejmeh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Jwaya FC1.01
Al Nejmeh1.22
1X2
30% 30% 40%
Jwaya FC Draw Al Nejmeh
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jwaya FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWDLDD
Al Nejmeh 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Jwaya FC 2–1–0 Al Nejmeh (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jwaya FC 1538 · Al Nejmeh 1563
Jwaya FCDrawAl Nejmeh
Our model29%31%40%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Jwaya FC: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jwaya FCAl Nejmeh
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 12.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/78/11%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.43.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.12.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jwaya FC 210 Al Nejmeh

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/06/26
Lebanon League
Jwaya FC2-1
HT 0-0
Al Nejmeh
11/02/26
Lebanon Cup
Al Nejmeh1-1
HT 1-1
Jwaya FC
08/11/25
Lebanon League
Al Nejmeh0-1Jwaya FC

Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Al Ansar Beirut 211722 53953
2 Al Nejmeh 211443 421046
3 Al Ahed 211317 342240
4 Jwaya FC 211155 311438
5 Safa Beirut 211137 301733
6 Sagesse SC 21939 292730
7 Shabab Al-Sahel 21768 222127
8 Al-Mabarrah 21579 123622
9 Reyady Abaseya 215511 163020
10 Tadamon Sour 213810 122617
11 Al Bourj 11317 82010
12 Racing Beirut 210120 4611

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJwaya FCAl Nejmeh
Al Ansar Beirut 0-3 L 2-2 D
Sagesse SC 3-3 D 2-0 W
Tadamon Sour 1-0 W 1-0 W
Al-Mabarrah 2-0 W 5-0 W
Racing Beirut 4-0 W 5-0 W
Al Ahed 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Al Nejmeh (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jwaya FC

LDWWWWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Shabab Al-Sahel
Lebanon League
0-0 0-0 30 D
28/06 Safa Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 1-1 41 D
24/06 Al Ansar Beirut
Lebanon League
0-0 0-3 45 L
20/06 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
2-2 3-3 96 D
16/06 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon League
0-0 2-1 63 W
27/02 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 W
21/02 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
0-0 2-0 106 W
15/02 Racing Beirut
Lebanon League
1-0 4-0 94 W
11/02 Al Nejmeh
Lebanon Cup
1-1 1-1 30 D
06/02 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-1 0-1 104 L

Al Nejmeh

DWDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Sagesse SC
Lebanon Cup
1-0 2-0 115 W
03/07 Sagesse SC
Lebanon League
0-0 1-0 71 W
29/06 Racing Beirut
Lebanon League
2-0 5-0 123 W
25/06 Tadamon Sour
Lebanon League
1-0 1-0 55 W
21/06 Al-Mabarrah
Lebanon League
2-0 5-0 80 W
16/06 Jwaya FC
Lebanon League
0-0 1-2 33 L
12/06 Al Ahed
Lebanon League
0-0 1-0 33 W
21/05 Al Ansar Beirut
World Club Friendlies
2-2 D
21/02 Reyady Abaseya
Lebanon League
4-0 W
11/02 Jwaya FC
Lebanon Cup
1-1 1-1 80 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jwaya FC vs Al Nejmeh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Nejmeh win (40%). Probabilities: Jwaya FC 30%, draw 30%, Al Nejmeh 40%.

How many goals are expected in Jwaya FC vs Al Nejmeh?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Jwaya FC 1.01 · Al Nejmeh 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jwaya FC vs Al Nejmeh?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.