Prediction: Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Ahed
| Al Ansar Beirut | Draw | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ansar Beirut (rating 1573 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ansar Beirut | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ansar Beirut 3–0–3 Al Ahed
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Al Ahed |
| 12/05/26 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahed |
| 06/12/25 Lebanon League | Al Ahed | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Al Ansar Beirut |
| 27/06/25 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Al Ahed |
| 12/05/25 Lebanon League | Al Ansar Beirut | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Ahed |
| 12/04/25 Lebanon League | Al Ahed | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ansar Beirut |
Standings · Lebanon League · Premier League 25/26
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ansar Beirut | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 53 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 10 | 46 |
| 3 | Al Ahed | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 22 | 40 |
| 4 | Jwaya FC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 14 | 38 |
| 5 | Safa Beirut | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sagesse SC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 27 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 22 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 20 |
| 10 | Tadamon Sour | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Bourj | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Beirut | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 61 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ansar Beirut | Al Ahed |
|---|---|---|
| Tadamon Sour | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Al-Mabarrah | 7-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Al Nejmeh | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Shabab Al-Sahel | 3-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Safa Beirut | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ansar Beirut (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ansar Beirut
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
4-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Nejmeh World Club Friendlies |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/05 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Muras United FC AFC Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/02 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/02 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Al Ahed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Safa Beirut World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/02 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/02 | Sagesse SC Lebanon Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Ahed?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ansar Beirut win (60%). Probabilities: Al Ansar Beirut 60%, draw 23%, Al Ahed 17%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Ahed?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Al Ansar Beirut 2.03 · Al Ahed 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Ahed?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.