Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Kings Lynn Town vs Harborough Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Kings Lynn Town1.53
Harborough Town1.24
1X2
Kings Lynn Town
Draw
Harborough Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kings Lynn Town
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Harborough Town
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kings Lynn Town 1476 · Harborough Town 1556
| Kings Lynn Town | Draw | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harborough Town (rating 1476 vs 1556).
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kings Lynn Town | Harborough Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 3 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kings Lynn Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Norwich Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 28/03 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Leamington England National League North |
4-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/03 | South Shields England National League North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Harborough Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Quorn UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Chesham Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Real Bedford UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Stamford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Bishop's Stortford England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/04 | Banbury England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | St Ives Town England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Bury Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 24/03 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kings Lynn Town vs Harborough Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kings Lynn Town win (43%). Probabilities: Kings Lynn Town 43%, draw 27%, Harborough Town 30%.
How many goals are expected in Kings Lynn Town vs Harborough Town?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Kings Lynn Town 1.53 · Harborough Town 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kings Lynn Town vs Harborough Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.