Football · England National League North · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Chester vs Kings Lynn Town
Team pages: Chester · Kings Lynn Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Chester1.48
Kings Lynn Town0.83
1X2
Chester
Draw
Kings Lynn Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Chester
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Kings Lynn Town
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chester
3–3–0
Kings Lynn Town
(6 last)
- Chester0-0Kings Lynn Town
- Kings Lynn Town0-2Chester
- Kings Lynn Town0-3Chester
- Chester1-1Kings Lynn Town
- Kings Lynn Town0-0Chester
- Chester3-0Kings Lynn Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chester 1568 · Kings Lynn Town 1455
| Chester | Draw | Kings Lynn Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chester (rating 1568 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Chester: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chester | Kings Lynn Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chester 3–3–0 Kings Lynn Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England National League North | Chester | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kings Lynn Town |
| 06/12/25 England National League North | Kings Lynn Town | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Chester |
| 26/04/25 England National League North | Kings Lynn Town | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Chester |
| 21/12/24 England National League North | Chester | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kings Lynn Town |
| 27/01/24 England National League North | Kings Lynn Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chester |
| 12/08/23 England National League North | Chester | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kings Lynn Town |
Standings · England National League North
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Brackley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Worksop | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Macclesfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | South Shields | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Harborough Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Kings Lynn Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spennymoor Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | AFC Telford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chorley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Darlington 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Hereford FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Bedford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Marine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Southport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Radcliffe FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chorley England National League North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Nantwich Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Hyde Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Stoke U21 UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Fleetwood Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Vauxhall Motors Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Kings Lynn Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Kings Lynn Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Harborough Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Norwich Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Chorley England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 28/03 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Leamington England National League North |
4-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Curzon Ashton England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chester vs Kings Lynn Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chester win (52%). Probabilities: Chester 52%, draw 27%, Kings Lynn Town 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chester vs Kings Lynn Town?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Chester 1.48 · Kings Lynn Town 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chester vs Kings Lynn Town?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.