Football · England National League North · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Telford vs Kings Lynn Town

Team pages: AFC Telford · Kings Lynn Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

AFC Telford1.4

Kings Lynn Town1.28

1X2

39% 27% 34%

AFC Telford Draw Kings Lynn Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Telford 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLWWD

Kings Lynn Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

AFC Telford 1–1–3 Kings Lynn Town (5 last)

AFC Telford2-1Kings Lynn Town
Kings Lynn Town1-1AFC Telford
Kings Lynn Town3-0AFC Telford
AFC Telford0-4Kings Lynn Town
AFC Telford1-3Kings Lynn Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Telford 1482 · Kings Lynn Town 1485

	AFC Telford	Draw	Kings Lynn Town
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kings Lynn Town: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Telford	Kings Lynn Town
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +37’	2.25	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Telford 1–1–3 Kings Lynn Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England National League North	AFC Telford	2-1 HT 2-0	Kings Lynn Town
09/08/25 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	1-1 HT 0-1	AFC Telford
14/02/23 England National League North	Kings Lynn Town	3-0 HT 0-0	AFC Telford
20/08/22 England National League North	AFC Telford	0-4 HT 0-0	Kings Lynn Town
17/08/19 England National League North	AFC Telford	1-3 HT 0-2	Kings Lynn Town

Standings · England National League North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hereford FC	9	7	1	1	21	4	22
2	Oxford City	9	6	1	2	17	6	19
3	Macclesfield	9	5	3	1	12	6	18
4	Spalding United	9	5	2	2	13	6	17
5	Hebburn Town	9	5	2	2	15	15	17
6	South Shields	8	5	2	1	9	10	17
7	Buxton	9	5	1	3	18	14	16
8	Bedford Town	9	5	0	4	13	13	15
9	Chester	9	4	2	3	9	8	14
10	Morecambe	9	4	1	4	13	8	13
11	Merthyr Town	9	3	4	2	11	9	13
12	Kings Lynn Town	9	4	1	4	15	15	13
13	Harborough Town	9	3	3	3	10	11	12
14	Worksop	9	4	0	5	9	12	12
15	Scarborough Athletic	9	3	2	4	14	11	11
16	Chorley	9	3	2	4	14	16	11
17	Marine	9	3	0	6	10	11	9
18	AFC Telford	9	2	3	4	8	10	9
19	Hednesford	9	2	3	4	13	16	9
20	Southport	9	2	2	5	11	18	8
21	Brackley	8	2	2	4	7	16	8
22	Radcliffe FC	9	2	0	7	8	16	6
23	Darlington 1883	9	2	0	7	11	20	6
24	Spennymoor Town	9	1	3	5	9	19	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Telford	Kings Lynn Town
Harborough Town	0-0 D	1-1 D
Scarborough Athletic	1-0 W	3-1 W
Hednesford	1-1 D	2-3 L
Brackley	1-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kings Lynn Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Telford

LLLDDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Harborough Town England National League North	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
08/09	Oxford City England National League North	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/09	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
31/08	Bedford Town England National League North	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
28/08	Morecambe England National League North	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/08	Hednesford England National League North	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
18/08	Merthyr Town England National League North	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
15/08	Worksop England National League North	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	Brackley England National League North	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
25/04	Southport England National League North	0-1	0-2	6	0	L

Kings Lynn Town

DDLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Chorley England National League North	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
08/09	Hednesford England National League North	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
05/09	Darlington 1883 England National League North	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/08	Scarborough Athletic England National League North	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
29/08	Hebburn Town England National League North	2-1	2-4	4	2	L
22/08	Marine England National League North	1-0	1-4	6	3	L
18/08	Brackley England National League North	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
15/08	Chester England National League North	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
08/08	Harborough Town England National League North	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
25/04	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Telford vs Kings Lynn Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Telford win (39%). Probabilities: AFC Telford 39%, draw 27%, Kings Lynn Town 34%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Telford vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model expects 2.68 goals (AFC Telford 1.4 · Kings Lynn Town 1.28), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Telford vs Kings Lynn Town?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.