Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Marine vs Macclesfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Marine1.32
Macclesfield1.66
1X2
Marine
Draw
Macclesfield
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Marine
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Macclesfield
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marine
2–3
Macclesfield
(5 last)
- Marine2-4Macclesfield
- Macclesfield0-1Marine
- Macclesfield1-2Marine
- Macclesfield2-1Marine
- Marine1-2Macclesfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marine 1517 · Macclesfield 1539
| Marine | Draw | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Macclesfield: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marine | Macclesfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.2 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marine 2–0–3 Macclesfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England National League North | Marine | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Macclesfield |
| 04/10/25 England National League North | Macclesfield | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Marine |
| 06/05/24 England Northern Premier League | Macclesfield | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Marine |
| 02/03/24 England Northern Premier League | Macclesfield | 2-1 | Marine |
| 17/10/23 England Northern Premier League | Marine | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Macclesfield |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bootle Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Prescot Cables Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Runcorn Linnets Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Blackburn U23 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Alfreton Town England National League North |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
Macclesfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Altrincham UK Friendlies |
3-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Warrington Town UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Leek Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Hyde Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Southport England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marine vs Macclesfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Macclesfield win (45%). Probabilities: Marine 30%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 45%.
How many goals are expected in Marine vs Macclesfield?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Marine 1.32 · Macclesfield 1.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Marine vs Macclesfield?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.