Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: AFC Telford vs Brackley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
AFC Telford1.27
Brackley1.24
1X2
AFC Telford
Draw
Brackley
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Telford
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Brackley
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Telford
2–4
Brackley
(6 last)
- Brackley1-2AFC Telford
- AFC Telford0-1Brackley
- Brackley2-1AFC Telford
- AFC Telford0-2Brackley
- AFC Telford3-0Brackley
- AFC Telford0-1Brackley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Telford 1467 · Brackley 1502
| AFC Telford | Draw | Brackley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Brackley: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Telford | Brackley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.1 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Telford 2–0–4 Brackley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/23 England National League North | Brackley | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AFC Telford |
| 27/09/22 England National League North | AFC Telford | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Brackley |
| 12/03/22 England National League North | Brackley | 2-1 HT 2-1 | AFC Telford |
| 25/09/21 England National League North | AFC Telford | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Brackley |
| 06/10/20 England National League North | AFC Telford | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Brackley |
| 04/01/20 England National League North | AFC Telford | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Brackley |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Telford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Walsall UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Crewe UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Shifnal Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Nuneaton Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Southport England National League North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 03/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
Brackley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Maidenhead Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Stratford Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Cardiff MU UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Ardley Utd Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Telford vs Brackley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Telford win (37%). Probabilities: AFC Telford 37%, draw 28%, Brackley 35%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Telford vs Brackley?
The model expects 2.51 goals (AFC Telford 1.27 · Brackley 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Telford vs Brackley?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.