Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Darlington 1883 vs Worksop
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Darlington 18831.84
Worksop1.48
1X2
Darlington 1883
Draw
Worksop
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Darlington 1883
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Worksop
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Darlington 1883
1–1–0
Worksop
(2 last)
- Worksop1-1Darlington 1883
- Darlington 18835-1Worksop
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darlington 1883 1471 · Worksop 1588
| Darlington 1883 | Draw | Worksop | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worksop (rating 1471 vs 1588).
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Darlington 1883 | Worksop | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 3.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darlington 1883 1–1–0 Worksop
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England National League North | Worksop | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Darlington 1883 |
| 04/11/25 England National League North | Darlington 1883 | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Worksop |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darlington 1883
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Rotherham UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Carlisle UK Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Stockton Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Redcar Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Oxford City England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | AFC Telford England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | South Shields England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Worksop
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sheff Utd U23 Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Mickleover Sports Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Garforth Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Barnsley FC XI Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | South Normanton Athletic Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Ilkeston Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Retford FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Hallam UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Chorley England National League North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Peterborough Sports England National League North |
6-0 | 8-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darlington 1883 vs Worksop?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Darlington 1883 win (45%). Probabilities: Darlington 1883 45%, draw 25%, Worksop 30%.
How many goals are expected in Darlington 1883 vs Worksop?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Darlington 1883 1.84 · Worksop 1.48), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Darlington 1883 vs Worksop?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.