Prediction: Oxford City vs Bedford Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Oxford City1.46
Bedford Town1.04
1X2
46% 27% 27%
Oxford City Draw Bedford Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oxford City 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLWWWLLL
Bedford Town 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDDDWWLL
Head-to-head
Oxford City 0–2 Bedford Town (2 last)
  • Oxford City1-2Bedford Town
  • Bedford Town1-0Oxford City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oxford City 1493 · Bedford Town 1529
Oxford CityDrawBedford Town
Our model46%29%26%
Market47%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bedford Town: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oxford CityBedford Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.11.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.61.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.32 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oxford City 002 Bedford Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/11/25
England National League North
Oxford City1-2
HT 1-1
Bedford Town
21/10/25
England National League North
Bedford Town1-0
HT 1-0
Oxford City

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOxford CityBedford Town
Walton & Hersham 1-2 L 2-0 W
Hereford FC 2-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oxford City

WDWLWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Chesham
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
28/07 Slough
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-2 60 L
25/07 Walton & Hersham
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 91 L
14/07 Hemel Hempstead
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
10/07 Briton Ferry
UK Friendlies
2-0 4-0 61 W
25/04 Darlington 1883
England National League North
2-0 3-1 410 W
18/04 Chester
England National League North
0-2 1-2 46 L
14/04 Hereford FC
England National League North
0-1 2-1 59 W
11/04 Alfreton Town
England National League North
1-0 1-1 76 D
06/04 Peterborough Sports
England National League North
0-0 2-0 44 W

Bedford Town

WWDDDDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Kettering
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
24/07 Real Bedford
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-3 L
18/07 Walton & Hersham
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 30 W
11/07 Berkhamsted
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 30 W
07/07 Aldershot
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 30 D
25/04 Scarborough Athletic
England National League North
0-0 1-1 41 D
18/04 South Shields
England National League North
0-0 1-1 22 D
11/04 Hereford FC
England National League North
2-0 2-2 34 D
06/04 Kings Lynn Town
England National League North
0-0 1-0 45 W
03/04 Leamington
England National League North
1-1 3-1 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oxford City vs Bedford Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oxford City win (46%). Probabilities: Oxford City 46%, draw 27%, Bedford Town 27%.

How many goals are expected in Oxford City vs Bedford Town?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Oxford City 1.46 · Bedford Town 1.04), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oxford City vs Bedford Town?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.