Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Radcliffe FC vs Spalding United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Radcliffe FC1.61
Spalding United1.5
1X2
Radcliffe FC
Draw
Spalding United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Radcliffe FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Spalding United
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radcliffe FC 1469 · Spalding United 1537
| Radcliffe FC | Draw | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 23% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spalding United (rating 1469 vs 1537).
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radcliffe FC | Spalding United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.9 | 3.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radcliffe FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bury UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 17/07 | Shrewsbury Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Mossley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Flixton Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Glossop North End Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Hereford FC England National League North |
1-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 11 | L |
| 14/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | South Shields England National League North |
1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
Spalding United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Chelmsford Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Bishop's Stortford Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Real Bedford England Southern Premier League Central |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Halesowen England Southern Premier League Central |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Worcester City England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Leiston England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Stratford Town England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/04 | Barwell England Southern Premier League Central |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Stourbridge England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Bromsgrove England Southern Premier League Central |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radcliffe FC vs Spalding United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Radcliffe FC win (40%). Probabilities: Radcliffe FC 40%, draw 24%, Spalding United 35%.
How many goals are expected in Radcliffe FC vs Spalding United?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Radcliffe FC 1.61 · Spalding United 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Radcliffe FC vs Spalding United?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.