Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Scarborough Athletic1.03
South Shields1.76
1X2
Scarborough Athletic
Draw
South Shields
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Scarborough Athletic
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
South Shields
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Scarborough Athletic
0–3–3
South Shields
(6 last)
- Scarborough Athletic2-2South Shields
- South Shields4-0Scarborough Athletic
- South Shields1-1Scarborough Athletic
- Scarborough Athletic1-2South Shields
- Scarborough Athletic1-1South Shields
- South Shields1-0Scarborough Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scarborough Athletic 1504 · South Shields 1521
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | South Shields | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 25% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours South Shields: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Scarborough Athletic | South Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 3.1 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Scarborough Athletic 0–3–3 South Shields
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 England National League North | Scarborough Athletic | 2-2 HT 0-1 | South Shields |
| 21/10/25 England National League North | South Shields | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Scarborough Athletic |
| 01/02/25 England National League North | South Shields | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Scarborough Athletic |
| 31/08/24 England National League North | Scarborough Athletic | 1-2 HT 0-0 | South Shields |
| 03/02/24 England National League North | Scarborough Athletic | 1-1 HT 0-1 | South Shields |
| 19/08/23 England National League North | South Shields | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Scarborough Athletic |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Scarborough Athletic | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Bedford Town | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Darlington 1883 | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Scarborough Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hull U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Buxton England National League North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/04 | Spennymoor Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Chorley England National League North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Leamington England National League North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
South Shields
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Dag & Red Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Gateshead UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Buxton England National League North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kidderminster England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Bedford Town England National League North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 24 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Darlington 1883 England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields?
According to our model, the most likely result is an South Shields win (54%). Probabilities: Scarborough Athletic 21%, draw 25%, South Shields 54%.
How many goals are expected in Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Scarborough Athletic 1.03 · South Shields 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.