Football · England National League North · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Morecambe1.76
Spennymoor Town0.98
1X2
Morecambe
Draw
Spennymoor Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Morecambe
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Spennymoor Town
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Morecambe 1509 · Spennymoor Town 1502
| Morecambe | Draw | Spennymoor Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Morecambe | Spennymoor Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Morecambe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | AFC Fylde UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Bury Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Bamber Bridge UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Clitheroe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Kendall Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Woking England National League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Carlisle England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Spennymoor Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Gateshead Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Halifax Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Bishop Auckland Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Hartlepool Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Seaton Carew FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Blyth Spartans Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Marine England National League North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Macclesfield England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Worksop England National League North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Scarborough Athletic England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Morecambe win (55%). Probabilities: Morecambe 55%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 20%.
How many goals are expected in Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Morecambe 1.76 · Spennymoor Town 0.98), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.