Prediction: Braintree Town vs Horsham

Team pages: Braintree Town · Horsham

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Braintree Town1.48
Horsham1.45
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Braintree Town Draw Horsham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Braintree Town 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Horsham 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLWLLDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Braintree Town 1446 · Horsham 1504
Braintree TownDrawHorsham
Our model37%27%36%
Market37%27%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Horsham (rating 1446 vs 1504).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Braintree TownHorsham
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.51.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 10.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.33 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.12.6 / 0.1

Standings · England National League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dag & Red 3300 519
2 Weston Super Mare 3210 607
3 Tonbridge Angels 3201 626
4 AFC Totton 3201 236
5 Horsham 3120 315
6 Torquay 3120 325
7 Salisbury FC 2110 504
8 Folkestone Invicta 2110 624
9 Maidstone Utd 3111 534
10 Dorking Wanderers 3111 314
11 Truro City 2110 204
12 Hemel Hempstead 3111 324
13 Maidenhead Utd 3111 124
14 Billericay Town 2101 213
15 Dover 3102 563
16 Farnborough 2101 233
16 Farnham 3102 233
18 Braintree Town 2101 363
19 Chelmsford 2020 112
20 Ebbsfleet United 0000 000
21 Slough 2002 360
22 Chesham 2002 260
23 Walton & Hersham 3003 1100
24 Hampton & Richmond 3003 0100

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Braintree Town

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Ipswich U21
England National League Cup
0-0 1-1 73 D
15/08 Chesham
England National League South
2-1 3-2 43 W
08/08 Tonbridge Angels
England National League South
0-2 0-4 32 L
01/08 Aldershot
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 10 L
28/07 Felixstowe & Walton Utd
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-2 L
18/07 Aveley
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-3 70 L
14/07 Welling
Club Friendly List
1-1 3-2 W
11/07 Brightlingsea Regent
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-2 D
25/04 Tamworth
England National League
1-2 1-5 42 L
18/04 Rochdale
England National League
0-1 1-2 44 L

Horsham

WWDLWLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Hampton & Richmond
England National League South
1-0 2-0 79 W
15/08 Salisbury FC
England National League South
0-0 0-0 52 D
08/08 Torquay
England National League South
0-1 1-1 46 D
01/08 Worthing
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 102 L
01/08 Worthing
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-3 L
28/07 Crystal Palace U23
Club Friendly List
4-0 4-1 W
25/07 Sutton Utd
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 20 L
21/07 Dulwich
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-1 D
18/07 Eastbourne Town
UK Friendlies
3-0 3-0 40 W
10/07 Eastleigh
UK Friendlies
1-2 3-2 20 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Braintree Town vs Horsham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Braintree Town win (37%). Probabilities: Braintree Town 37%, draw 27%, Horsham 36%.

How many goals are expected in Braintree Town vs Horsham?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Braintree Town 1.48 · Horsham 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Braintree Town vs Horsham?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.