Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Braintree Town1.79
Tonbridge Angels1.28
1X2
Braintree Town
Draw
Tonbridge Angels
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Braintree Town
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Tonbridge Angels
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Braintree Town
3–3–0
Tonbridge Angels
(6 last)
- Braintree Town1-0Tonbridge Angels
- Tonbridge Angels0-0Braintree Town
- Tonbridge Angels0-0Braintree Town
- Braintree Town2-0Tonbridge Angels
- Tonbridge Angels0-0Braintree Town
- Braintree Town1-0Tonbridge Angels
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braintree Town 1425 · Tonbridge Angels 1520
| Braintree Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tonbridge Angels (rating 1425 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Braintree Town: 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Braintree Town | Tonbridge Angels | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braintree Town 3–3–0 Tonbridge Angels
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/24 England National League South | Braintree Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tonbridge Angels |
| 05/09/23 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Braintree Town |
| 28/01/23 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Braintree Town |
| 27/08/22 England National League South | Braintree Town | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Tonbridge Angels |
| 12/03/22 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Braintree Town |
| 06/11/21 England National League South | Braintree Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tonbridge Angels |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braintree Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Welling Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Brightlingsea Regent Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Southend England National League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Tonbridge Angels
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Eastbourne Borough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Sittingbourne UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Biggleswade FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Torquay England National League South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Farnborough England National League South |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Eastbourne Borough England National League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Braintree Town win (49%). Probabilities: Braintree Town 49%, draw 25%, Tonbridge Angels 26%.
How many goals are expected in Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Braintree Town 1.79 · Tonbridge Angels 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.