Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Salisbury FC vs Hampton & Richmond
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Salisbury FC1.12
Hampton & Richmond1.31
1X2
Salisbury FC
Draw
Hampton & Richmond
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Salisbury FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Hampton & Richmond
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salisbury FC
1–2–1
Hampton & Richmond
(4 last)
- Salisbury FC1-1Hampton & Richmond
- Hampton & Richmond0-0Salisbury FC
- Salisbury FC2-1Hampton & Richmond
- Hampton & Richmond1-0Salisbury FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salisbury FC 1501 · Hampton & Richmond 1576
| Salisbury FC | Draw | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hampton & Richmond (rating 1501 vs 1576).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salisbury FC | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salisbury FC 1–2–1 Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England National League South | Salisbury FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hampton & Richmond |
| 09/08/25 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Salisbury FC |
| 15/03/25 England National League South | Salisbury FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hampton & Richmond |
| 24/08/24 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Salisbury FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salisbury FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Havant and W UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Frome Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Wimborne Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Bristol Rovers Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Horsham England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Dover England National League South |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Raynes Park UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Basingstoke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hanworth Villa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Enfield Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Ebbsfleet United England National League South |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salisbury FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hampton & Richmond win (40%). Probabilities: Salisbury FC 31%, draw 28%, Hampton & Richmond 40%.
How many goals are expected in Salisbury FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Salisbury FC 1.12 · Hampton & Richmond 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Salisbury FC vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.