Football · England National League South · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Chesham vs Walton & Hersham
Team pages: Chesham · Walton & Hersham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Chesham1.97
Walton & Hersham1.18
1X2
Chesham
Draw
Walton & Hersham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chesham
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Walton & Hersham
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chesham
2–1–0
Walton & Hersham
(3 last)
- Chesham3-0Walton & Hersham
- Walton & Hersham2-2Chesham
- Walton & Hersham1-3Chesham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chesham 1515 · Walton & Hersham 1457
| Chesham | Draw | Walton & Hersham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chesham (rating 1515 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Chesham: 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chesham | Walton & Hersham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesham 2–1–0 Walton & Hersham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/24 England Southern Premier League South | Chesham | 3-0 | Walton & Hersham |
| 26/09/23 England Southern Premier League South | Walton & Hersham | 2-2 | Chesham |
| 02/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Walton & Hersham | 1-3 | Chesham |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dag & Red | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Weston Super Mare | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Horsham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Torquay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Maidstone Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Maidenhead Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Dover | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Farnham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chesham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Braintree Town England National League South |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Oxford City Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Basingstoke UK Friendlies |
4-2 | 6-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Harborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Hadley Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Dover England National League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Walton & Hersham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Leatherhead Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Bracknell Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chesham vs Walton & Hersham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesham win (54%). Probabilities: Chesham 54%, draw 24%, Walton & Hersham 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chesham vs Walton & Hersham?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Chesham 1.97 · Walton & Hersham 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chesham vs Walton & Hersham?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.