Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Billericay Town vs Dover
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Billericay Town1.43
Dover1.11
1X2
Billericay Town
Draw
Dover
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Billericay Town
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Dover
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Billericay Town
1–2–0
Dover
(3 last)
- Billericay Town0-0Dover
- Dover0-1Billericay Town
- Billericay Town1-1Dover
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billericay Town 1545 · Dover 1527
| Billericay Town | Draw | Dover | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Billericay Town | Dover | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/44/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Billericay Town 1–2–0 Dover
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/25 England Isthmian Premier Division | Billericay Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dover |
| 28/12/24 England Isthmian Premier Division | Dover | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Billericay Town |
| 17/08/24 England Ryman Premier Division | Billericay Town | 1-1 | Dover |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billericay Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Welling Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Royston Town Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Dartford UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Canvey Island Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Cambridge City Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | Brentwood Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | Chatham Town England Isthmian Premier Division |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Welling England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Whitehawk England Isthmian Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Ramsgate England Isthmian Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Dover
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Herne Bay Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Burgess Hill Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Deal Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Littlehampton Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Gillingham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Margate Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Chesham England National League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billericay Town vs Dover?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Billericay Town win (44%). Probabilities: Billericay Town 44%, draw 27%, Dover 29%.
How many goals are expected in Billericay Town vs Dover?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Billericay Town 1.43 · Dover 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Billericay Town vs Dover?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.