Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Farnham vs AFC Totton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Farnham1.68
AFC Totton1.25
1X2
Farnham
Draw
AFC Totton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Farnham
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
AFC Totton
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Farnham 1560 · AFC Totton 1517
| Farnham | Draw | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Farnham (rating 1560 vs 1517).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Farnham | AFC Totton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/13/38% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 1.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Farnham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Eastleigh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Yeovil UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Rochdale UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Wycombe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Badshot Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
AFC Totton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Southampton XI Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Moneyfields Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Farnborough England National League South |
1-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Eastbourne Borough England National League South |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Bath City England National League South |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Chippenham Town England National League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Farnham vs AFC Totton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Farnham win (47%). Probabilities: Farnham 47%, draw 26%, AFC Totton 28%.
How many goals are expected in Farnham vs AFC Totton?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Farnham 1.68 · AFC Totton 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Farnham vs AFC Totton?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.