Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Maidstone Utd2.15
Farnborough1.15
1X2
Maidstone Utd
Draw
Farnborough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maidstone Utd
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Farnborough
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maidstone Utd
4–2–0
Farnborough
(6 last)
- Maidstone Utd1-0Farnborough
- Farnborough0-2Maidstone Utd
- Farnborough2-2Maidstone Utd
- Maidstone Utd4-0Farnborough
- Farnborough0-1Maidstone Utd
- Maidstone Utd1-1Farnborough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maidstone Utd 1646 · Farnborough 1524
| Maidstone Utd | Draw | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maidstone Utd (rating 1646 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Maidstone Utd: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maidstone Utd | Farnborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 6.8 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidstone Utd 4–2–0 Farnborough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England National League South | Maidstone Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Farnborough |
| 18/10/25 England National League South | Farnborough | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Maidstone Utd |
| 26/04/25 England National League South | Farnborough | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maidstone Utd |
| 21/12/24 England National League South | Maidstone Utd | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Farnborough |
| 06/04/24 England National League South | Farnborough | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maidstone Utd |
| 21/10/23 England National League South | Maidstone Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Farnborough |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maidstone Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Chatham Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Brentwood Town UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Ashford Utd UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ramsgate UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Welling UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Bearsted FC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Whitstable Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Bath City England National League South |
0-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Worthing England National League South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Horsham England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Farnborough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bath City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carshalton Ath Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Dover England National League South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maidstone Utd win (59%). Probabilities: Maidstone Utd 59%, draw 22%, Farnborough 19%.
How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Maidstone Utd 2.15 · Farnborough 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.