Prediction: Farnham vs Billericay Town

Team pages: Farnham · Billericay Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Farnham1.37
Billericay Town1
1X2
45% 28% 27%
Farnham Draw Billericay Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Farnham 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWDDWLLW
Billericay Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWWDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Farnham 1518 · Billericay Town 1523
FarnhamDrawBillericay Town
Our model44%30%26%
Market46%26%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FarnhamBillericay Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.71.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.11.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 04 / 0

Standings · England National League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dag & Red 3300 519
2 Weston Super Mare 3210 607
3 Tonbridge Angels 3201 626
4 AFC Totton 3201 236
5 Horsham 3120 315
6 Torquay 3120 325
7 Salisbury FC 2110 504
8 Folkestone Invicta 2110 624
9 Maidstone Utd 3111 534
10 Dorking Wanderers 3111 314
11 Truro City 2110 204
12 Hemel Hempstead 3111 324
13 Maidenhead Utd 3111 124
14 Billericay Town 2101 213
15 Dover 3102 563
16 Farnborough 2101 233
16 Farnham 3102 233
18 Braintree Town 2101 363
19 Chelmsford 2020 112
20 Ebbsfleet United 0000 000
21 Slough 2002 360
22 Chesham 2002 260
23 Walton & Hersham 3003 1100
24 Hampton & Richmond 3003 0100

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Farnham

LWDWDDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Slough
England National League South
1-0 1-0 31 W
14/08 Dag & Red
England National League South
0-1 1-2 35 L
08/08 AFC Totton
England National League South
0-0 0-1 52 L
01/08 Eastleigh
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 63 W
28/07 Yeovil
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-1 00 D
25/07 Rochdale
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 21 D
21/07 Wycombe
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-1 W
18/07 Cobham
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
11/07 Badshot
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
04/07 Ashford Town (Middx)
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-4 34 L

Billericay Town

DWDLLWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 AFC Totton
England National League South
0-0 0-1 55 L
08/08 Dover
England National League South
1-0 2-0 32 W
28/07 Welling
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Royston Town
Club Friendly List
3-0 3-0 W
21/07 Dartford
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-0 50 W
11/07 Canvey Island
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
07/07 Cambridge City
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-2 L
04/05 Brentwood Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-1 1-1 76 D
29/04 Chatham Town
England Isthmian Premier Division
3-1 3-2 27 W
25/04 Welling
England Isthmian Premier Division
1-0 2-2 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Farnham vs Billericay Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Farnham win (45%). Probabilities: Farnham 45%, draw 28%, Billericay Town 27%.

How many goals are expected in Farnham vs Billericay Town?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Farnham 1.37 · Billericay Town 1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Farnham vs Billericay Town?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.