Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dorking Wanderers vs Dag & Red
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Dorking Wanderers1.56
Dag & Red1.07
1X2
Dorking Wanderers
Draw
Dag & Red
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dorking Wanderers
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Dag & Red
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dorking Wanderers
2–1–3
Dag & Red
(6 last)
- Dag & Red1-0Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers0-0Dag & Red
- Dag & Red2-1Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers1-3Dag & Red
- Dag & Red0-2Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers5-1Dag & Red
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dorking Wanderers 1458 · Dag & Red 1527
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Dag & Red | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dag & Red (rating 1458 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Dag & Red: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dorking Wanderers | Dag & Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dorking Wanderers 2–1–3 Dag & Red
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League South | Dag & Red | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 20/09/25 England National League South | Dorking Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dag & Red |
| 23/01/24 England National League | Dag & Red | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 04/11/23 England National League | Dorking Wanderers | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Dag & Red |
| 01/04/23 England National League | Dag & Red | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 01/10/22 England National League | Dorking Wanderers | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Dag & Red |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dorking Wanderers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Bracknell Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Dulwich UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Lewes UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Chatham Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Jersey Bulls Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Leatherhead UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Torquay England National League South |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
Dag & Red
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | South Shields Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Boreham Wood UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Crystal Palace U21 UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Hashtag United UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Hitchin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Newmarket Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | AFC Hornchurch UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Slough England National League South |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Worthing England National League South |
1-2 | 2-7 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dorking Wanderers vs Dag & Red?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dorking Wanderers win (48%). Probabilities: Dorking Wanderers 48%, draw 27%, Dag & Red 25%.
How many goals are expected in Dorking Wanderers vs Dag & Red?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Dorking Wanderers 1.56 · Dag & Red 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dorking Wanderers vs Dag & Red?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.