Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Truro City1.42
Maidenhead Utd1.03
1X2
Truro City
Draw
Maidenhead Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Truro City
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Maidenhead Utd
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Truro City
0–2–2
Maidenhead Utd
(4 last)
- Truro City0-3Maidenhead Utd
- Maidenhead Utd2-0Truro City
- Maidenhead Utd0-0Truro City
- Truro City4-4Maidenhead Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Truro City 1538 · Maidenhead Utd 1461
| Truro City | Draw | Maidenhead Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Truro City (rating 1538 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Maidenhead Utd: 2-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Truro City | Maidenhead Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Truro City 0–2–2 Maidenhead Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/17 England National League South | Truro City | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 29/08/16 England National League South | Maidenhead Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Truro City |
| 19/03/16 England National League South | Maidenhead Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Truro City |
| 23/01/16 England National League South | Truro City | 4-4 HT 3-1 | Maidenhead Utd |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Truro City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Plymouth Parkway Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Exeter UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Exmouth Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Falmouth Town Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/04 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Maidenhead Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wimborne Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/07 | Wolverhampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton U23 Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Holyport Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Milton Keynes Dons UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Dover England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Chelmsford England National League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Truro City win (46%). Probabilities: Truro City 46%, draw 27%, Maidenhead Utd 27%.
How many goals are expected in Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Truro City 1.42 · Maidenhead Utd 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Truro City vs Maidenhead Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.