Football · England National League · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Yeovil vs Boston Utd

Team pages: Yeovil · Boston Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Yeovil1.57

Boston Utd1.35

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Yeovil Draw Boston Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeovil 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLLDWW

Boston Utd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDLDWL

Head-to-head

Yeovil 2–2 Boston Utd (4 last)

Boston Utd2-1Yeovil
Yeovil2-1Boston Utd
Yeovil0-3Boston Utd
Boston Utd1-3Yeovil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeovil 1531 · Boston Utd 1444

	Yeovil	Draw	Boston Utd
Our model	42%	27%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeovil (rating 1531 vs 1444).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeovil	Boston Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.1	3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +1’	2.20	3.50	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 2–0–2 Boston Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 England National League	Boston Utd	2-1 HT 1-1	Yeovil
29/11/25 England National League	Yeovil	2-1 HT 0-0	Boston Utd
11/03/25 England National League	Yeovil	0-3 HT 0-2	Boston Utd
31/08/24 England National League	Boston Utd	1-3 HT 1-2	Yeovil

Standings · England National League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	10	8	2	0	26	11	26
2	Southend	10	6	2	2	25	16	20
3	AFC Fylde	10	6	2	2	21	13	20
4	Harrogate Town	10	6	1	3	24	17	19
5	Aldershot	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
6	Yeovil	10	5	3	2	19	14	18
7	Kidderminster	10	5	3	2	13	8	18
8	Altrincham	10	6	0	4	15	15	18
9	Worthing	10	5	2	3	19	16	17
10	Sutton Utd	10	5	2	3	13	13	17
11	AFC Hornchurch	10	5	0	5	11	15	15
12	Forest Green	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Eastleigh	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
14	Halifax	10	4	1	5	15	13	13
15	Barrow	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
15	Woking	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
17	Wealdstone	10	3	2	5	15	15	11
18	Boston Utd	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
19	Carlisle	10	2	4	4	18	19	10
20	Scunthorpe	10	3	1	6	15	16	10
21	Hartlepool	10	3	0	7	8	15	9
22	Tamworth	10	2	2	6	17	28	8
23	Solihull Moors	10	1	1	8	9	26	4
24	Gateshead	10	1	1	8	6	24	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeovil	Boston Utd
Solihull Moors	4-1 W	2-0 W
Aldershot	1-1 D	0-1 L
AFC Fylde	1-4 L	0-1 L
Tamworth	3-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yeovil (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeovil

DDWWWLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
15/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
05/09	Southend England National League	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
31/08	Tamworth England National League	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
28/08	Barrow England National League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Gateshead England National League	1-0	3-0	7	8	W
15/08	Carlisle England National League	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
08/08	Scunthorpe England National League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D

Boston Utd

LWWLLDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
19/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
15/09	Woking England National League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
12/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
05/09	Tamworth England National League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	2-3	10	2	L
27/08	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
15/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Boston Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeovil win (42%). Probabilities: Yeovil 42%, draw 26%, Boston Utd 32%.

How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Boston Utd?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Yeovil 1.57 · Boston Utd 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Boston Utd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.