Football · England National League · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Kidderminster vs Sutton Utd

Team pages: Kidderminster · Sutton Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Kidderminster1.28

Sutton Utd1.04

1X2

42% 29% 30%

Kidderminster Draw Sutton Utd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kidderminster 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWWWDL

Sutton Utd 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWDD

Head-to-head

Kidderminster 0–1 Sutton Utd (1 last)

Kidderminster0-1Sutton Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kidderminster 1531 · Sutton Utd 1512

	Kidderminster	Draw	Sutton Utd
Our model	41%	31%	29%
Market	43%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kidderminster	Sutton Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.2	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:40 +17’	2.15	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kidderminster 0–0–1 Sutton Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/25 England FA Trophy	Kidderminster	0-1 HT 0-0	Sutton Utd

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	10	8	2	0	26	11	26
2	Southend	10	6	2	2	25	16	20
3	AFC Fylde	10	6	2	2	21	13	20
4	Harrogate Town	10	6	1	3	24	17	19
5	Aldershot	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
6	Yeovil	10	5	3	2	19	14	18
7	Kidderminster	10	5	3	2	13	8	18
8	Altrincham	10	6	0	4	15	15	18
9	Worthing	10	5	2	3	19	16	17
10	Sutton Utd	10	5	2	3	13	13	17
11	AFC Hornchurch	10	5	0	5	11	15	15
12	Forest Green	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Eastleigh	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
14	Halifax	10	4	1	5	15	13	13
15	Barrow	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
15	Woking	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
17	Wealdstone	10	3	2	5	15	15	11
18	Boston Utd	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
19	Carlisle	10	2	4	4	18	19	10
20	Scunthorpe	10	3	1	6	15	16	10
21	Hartlepool	10	3	0	7	8	15	9
22	Tamworth	10	2	2	6	17	28	8
23	Solihull Moors	10	1	1	8	9	26	4
24	Gateshead	10	1	1	8	6	24	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kidderminster	Sutton Utd
Woking	0-0 D	3-0 W
Gateshead	1-0 W	1-0 W
Hartlepool	2-0 W	2-1 W
Wealdstone	4-1 W	0-2 L
Barrow	1-1 D	0-3 L
Eastleigh	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kidderminster (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kidderminster

LWDWDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Yeovil England National League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	Woking England National League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	4-1	0	6	W
31/08	Barrow England National League	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
28/08	Southend England National League	0-1	3-1	3	4	W
22/08	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	9	9	D
15/08	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-0	10	6	W
08/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-3	0-3	3	4	L

Sutton Utd

WWWWLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Forest Green England National League	0-1	3-3	7	7	D
19/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
15/09	Eastleigh England National League	2-0	2-1	7	7	W
12/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
05/09	Barrow England National League	0-1	0-3	6	10	L
31/08	Wealdstone England National League	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
28/08	Gateshead England National League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
22/08	Hartlepool England National League	2-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Altrincham England National League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
08/08	Woking England National League	1-0	3-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kidderminster vs Sutton Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidderminster win (42%). Probabilities: Kidderminster 42%, draw 29%, Sutton Utd 30%.

How many goals are expected in Kidderminster vs Sutton Utd?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Kidderminster 1.28 · Sutton Utd 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs Sutton Utd?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.