Football · England National League · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Barrow vs Scunthorpe
Team pages: Barrow · Scunthorpe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Barrow1.69
Scunthorpe1.27
1X2
Barrow
Draw
Scunthorpe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Barrow
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Scunthorpe
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barrow
3–1–1
Scunthorpe
(5 last)
- Scunthorpe0-1Barrow
- Barrow1-1Scunthorpe
- Barrow1-0Scunthorpe
- Barrow1-0Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe2-1Barrow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barrow 1504 · Scunthorpe 1493
| Barrow | Draw | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barrow: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barrow | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barrow 3–1–1 Scunthorpe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/22 England League 2 | Scunthorpe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Barrow |
| 19/10/21 England League 2 | Barrow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Scunthorpe |
| 10/08/21 England EFL Cup | Barrow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 16/01/21 England League 2 | Barrow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 15/12/20 England League 2 | Scunthorpe | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Barrow |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Southend | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Harrogate Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 19 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Kidderminster | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Altrincham | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Worthing | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 10 | Sutton Utd | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | AFC Hornchurch | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Forest Green | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 14 | Halifax | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 15 | Barrow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | Woking | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Boston Utd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 19 | Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 10 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 9 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 8 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barrow | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Southend | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Solihull Moors | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Sutton Utd | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Yeovil | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Harrogate Town | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| AFC Hornchurch | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Hartlepool | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barrow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Worthing England National League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 31/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barrow vs Scunthorpe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barrow win (47%). Probabilities: Barrow 47%, draw 26%, Scunthorpe 28%.
How many goals are expected in Barrow vs Scunthorpe?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Barrow 1.69 · Scunthorpe 1.27), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barrow vs Scunthorpe?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.