Football · England National League · 29/09, 20:45

Prediction: Forest Green vs Wealdstone

Team pages: Forest Green · Wealdstone

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Forest Green1.87

Wealdstone0.97

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Forest Green Draw Wealdstone

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Forest Green 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWWDL

Wealdstone 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWLWLL

Head-to-head

Forest Green 1–2–2 Wealdstone (5 last)

Forest Green2-0Wealdstone
Forest Green0-3Wealdstone
Wealdstone1-1Forest Green
Wealdstone2-1Forest Green
Forest Green2-2Wealdstone

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forest Green 1473 · Wealdstone 1475

	Forest Green	Draw	Wealdstone
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wealdstone: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forest Green	Wealdstone
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.2	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.10

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +5’	1.55	4.10	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forest Green 1–2–2 Wealdstone

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 England National League	Forest Green	2-0 HT 1-0	Wealdstone
31/01/26 England FA Trophy	Forest Green	0-3 HT 0-1	Wealdstone
22/11/25 England National League	Wealdstone	1-1 HT 0-1	Forest Green
05/04/25 England National League	Wealdstone	2-1 HT 1-1	Forest Green
14/09/24 England National League	Forest Green	2-2 HT 2-1	Wealdstone

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	9	7	2	0	23	11	23
2	Southend	9	6	2	1	23	12	20
3	Kidderminster	9	5	3	1	13	7	18
4	AFC Fylde	9	5	2	2	20	13	17
5	Harrogate Town	9	5	1	3	20	16	16
6	Sutton Utd	9	5	1	3	10	10	16
7	Yeovil	9	4	3	2	18	14	15
8	Aldershot	9	4	3	2	10	7	15
9	AFC Hornchurch	9	5	0	4	11	12	15
10	Altrincham	9	5	0	4	12	15	15
11	Worthing	9	4	2	3	17	15	14
12	Eastleigh	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
13	Halifax	9	4	1	4	14	11	13
14	Forest Green	9	4	1	4	13	14	13
15	Boston Utd	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
16	Carlisle	9	2	4	3	16	14	10
17	Barrow	9	2	3	4	11	12	9
18	Woking	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
19	Hartlepool	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
20	Wealdstone	9	2	2	5	11	15	8
21	Tamworth	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
22	Scunthorpe	9	2	1	6	11	15	7
23	Solihull Moors	9	1	1	7	9	23	4
24	Gateshead	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forest Green	Wealdstone
Boston Utd	1-3 L	3-1 W
Carlisle	1-1 D	1-1 D
AFC Fylde	0-2 L	2-2 D
Worthing	2-1 W	0-1 L
Halifax	3-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forest Green

DWWLLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
15/09	Carlisle England National League	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
28/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
22/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
08/08	Halifax England National League	0-1	3-2	8	3	W
29/04	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	0-0	9	4	D

Wealdstone

LDLLDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Tamworth England National League	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
15/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
12/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/09	Kidderminster England National League	1-1	1-4	10	6	L
31/08	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
28/08	Carlisle England National League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
15/08	Harrogate Town England National League	1-1	1-3	5	0	L
08/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
25/04	Southend England National League	1-2	1-2	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forest Green vs Wealdstone?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forest Green win (58%). Probabilities: Forest Green 58%, draw 23%, Wealdstone 19%.

How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Wealdstone?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Forest Green 1.87 · Wealdstone 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Wealdstone?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.